Texas Tech is putting together their best season in years. The issue they've run into has been struggles against strong competition. They get destroyed by Texas and TCU. Tech's best win is against West Virginia who has fallen to 3-4 after a decent start to the season.
No up against Oklahoma, the expectations for Tech are low. That's understandable considering they lost 70-35 to a team that Oklahoma beat.
Oddsmakers don't think this game is going to be close. The Red Raiders are 19.5 point underdogs, and they're given +750 odds to win the game outright. That's an implied 11.8% chance to pull off the upset. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is given -910 odds, or an implied 90.1% chance to win the game.
Oklahoma and Texas Tech have played each other 28 times in their history. Texas Tech has won just 6 times. Recent history is a nightmare.
Oklahoma has won the last 9 times that these two teams have played. Texas Tech's last win against Oklahoma came in 2011, a 41-38 win that set the blueprint for how Texas Tech can win this one.
A slow start form Oklahoma gave the Red Raiders a chance to build a lead that Oklahoma just didn't have enough time to overcome. Texas Tech had a 31-7 lead, and Oklahoma tried to come back, but fell just 3 points short. Considering Oklahoma's issues with slow starts this year, that has to be the game plan this week.
Oklahoma is undefeated, but they've shown they can be beaten on any given Saturday. Oklahoma beaten Tulane by 5 points, Nebraska by 7 points, and Kansas State by 6 points. They beat West Virginia on a last second field goal. They needed to come from behind by multiple scores against Texas and Kansas.
With Oklahoma looking vulnerable in nearly every game they've played this season, Texas Tech is likely to have their shot in this one. It's going to be about whether they can take advantage of it like they did back in 2011.