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Texas Tech looks to end their long year with a big win over Texas

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Matt Wells rounds out the first year of his tenure with a tenacious task to continue the win steak in Austin

Wake up in the morning, more bad news,

Sometimes I feel like I born to lose, and it’s drivin’ me outta my mind.

I’ll just catch the next train and I’ll move on down the line.

Whoa, I’ll be ready now. I’ll be ready when my train pulls in.

Whoa, I’ll be ready now. I’ll be ready when my train pulls in.

I needed one more song to finish this thing up, and I debated several, but Austin’s own Gary Clark, Jr.’s 2012 hit “When my train pulls in” was the one that stuck. Although mixed messages can be found when the lyrics are dove into, the premise is the same. Once your train rolls in, you better be ready.

Finally. We know exactly when the 2019 Texas Tech Red Raider football season will end. Much like all the bad-luck plays we saw all year, the Red Raiders giving up a 3rd and 12 with the season on the line against KSU will be remembered right alongside with the others:

• The fumble that was but wasn’t called in Waco.

• The lateral that shouldn’t have happened in Lawrence.

• The fumble to end the TCU game.

Two plays away from bowl eligibility. Four plays from an eight win season. In a season full of bad luck, can Texas Tech empty the bucket in Austin and end this season with some sort of good note?

First Down - The Enemy:

Texas v Iowa State Photo by David Purdy/Getty Images

The University of Texas in Austin Longhorns are coached by Tom Herman, who entered his third season with extremely high expectations after a season that saw him lead the Longhorns to a Big 12 Championship and a Sugar Bowl victory over Georgia and a top 10 preseason ranking.

After suffering a fairly close loss against LSU in Austin and a suffering a deflating loss to OU in the Red River Rivalry, Tom Herman has somehow managed his team to six wins. Severely disappointing to the fans, the team and even Herman himself.Texas narrowly scraped by Kansas in Austin (maybe with some help of a slow clock) and now has lost three of his last four.

To say Tom Herman seat is hot, to me…is fairly ridiculous. As a numbers guy that buy out isn’t exactly university friendly, but this is the University of Texas we are talking about. When they don’t like something, they are quick to make a change…like when they fired Shaka Smart.

Oh, he isn’t fired yet? Hmm.

Second Down - Key Players:

Texas v Baylor Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

The Longhorns are led offensively by Dave Campbell’s High School Football coverboy quarterback Sam Ehlinger. Ol’ Sammy Boy is completing 65% of his passes with 3,114 yards for a 7.6 per attempt. He has 27 touchdowns on the year to nine interceptions. Ehlinger is also the team’s leading rusher with 142 attempts for 507 yards and five touchdowns this season.

Maybe more notable about Sam Ehlinger than his play, is the target he put on his back after proclaiming “Texas is back” on national television after beating Georgia.

Joining Ehlinger in the backfield is Keaontay Ingram, who has 728 yards on 129 attempts with six touchdowns, however, he suffered an ankle sprain against Baylor last weekend but is set to start this weekend.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: SEP 21 Oklahoma State at Texas Photo by Allan Hamilton/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Texas top receiver is Devin Duvernay with 1,095 yards on 97 receptions for an 11.3 average per reception. If Duvernay can play, he is one of the Big 12’s best.

As a whole, the Longhorn offense hasn’t been very good lately. They haven’t scored more than 27 points since the Kansas game and has surrendered more sacks than anyone in the Big 12 and have only converted 37% of their third downs in the last four games.

The depleted defensive depth chart still has senior defensive end Malcom Roach, who can still control his side of the line of scrimmage. Roach has 19 solo tackles and one sack on the season. Linebacker Jospeh Ossai is tied for most tackles with talented defensive back Brandon Jones with 53.

Joining Jones is sophomore safety Caden Sterns is still regarded as one of the best safeties in the nation, he has 36 tackles and three tackles for loss.

Third Down - By the Numbers:

• 39-33, 48-45, 27-23 all still happened.

• Should Texas Tech win, it will result in a winning record in Austin this decade (2011-2019), which would be a program first. Tech’s record in Austin is currently 7 – 36.

Fourth Down - Prediction:

Kansas State v Texas Tech Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images

I’ll get to my prediction in a bit, but first - I truly hope you guys enjoyed these previews as much as I enjoyed writing them this season. I don’t know when or why I started writing them with songs attached to them, but I’m incredibly happy I found a place at VTM that allows me the freedom to do so.

I’m not going anywhere. Admittedly, I’m not a huge knowledge base for basketball (I’m trying), but I know more about the sport of baseball than you know about your own family. So, I feel like I have a place here going forward. (editor’s note: he does)

I realize the coaching errors this season and that there were even moments as a “Wells supporter” that left me scratching my head this season. And I can’t promise you that gets better. I can’t promise you that a team who loses a bunch of close games one year, can suddenly flip and win those close games the next year. Better athletes or coaches, or neither.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NOV 23 Kansas State at Texas Tech Photo by Travis Tustin/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

What I can say is that, outside of the Oklahoma debacle, this team was never truly blown out. It was never really “out of it” and even when they were down, they fought back. That is something we haven’t seen in years on the football field. And that’s pure coaching.

A first year head coaching staff took over a program that hasn’t had a winning conference record in a decade, a bunch of guys they never met, and got them to buy-in and believe. The results, while disappointing, were tangible enough in my mind to relatively assume another offseason of workouts, preparation, installing the system, and recruiting (which is on track to be the best on campus since 2011), will produce results on the field next season.

Now, let’s go beat their ass.

The University of Texas of Austin Longhorns, 21

Texas Tech Red Raiders, 32