Texas Tech Football Offseason Theorems | Combining Explosive Rushing and Passing Plays Relative to Field Position

ARLINGTON, TX - NOVEMBER 26: Seth Doege #7 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders throws against the Baylor Bears at Cowboys Stadium on November 26, 2011 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Previous Texas Tech Football Offseason Theorems
* All Players Need to Contribute | Finding a Tight End and Utilizing Roster Spots
* Do Not Expect a True Freshman to Make an Immediate Impact | Reworking the Defensive Line
* Dynamic Offensive Playmakers Make a Difference, Part I
* Dynamic Offensive Playmakers Make a Difference, Part II
* Production Rate of the Texas Tech Defense
* Production Rate of the Big 12 Defenses
* Explosive Passing Plays Relative to Field Position
* What is Realistic Improvement on Defense
* Explosive Rushing Plays Relative to Field Position

The offseason is filled with questions, especially this year. Rather than ask those questions and not offer any solutions, I thought it would be interesting to offer theorems, i.e. all right angles are congruent, and you tell me if you think they're true or not. Here are your previous Texas Tech Football Offseason Theorems.

As you can see on the right, we've recently examined passing and rushing explosive plays relative to field position and it was suggested that I also take a look at the total rushing and passing pays and make a comparison for the years from 2011 through 2008.

That's pretty much what I've done here and I've also simplified some things and included some additional data that I hope you at the very least find interesting. Just to clarify here are the items that I've detailed in the tables below: Rushing Explosive Plays, Rushing Touchdown Percentage, Passing Explosive Plays, Passing Touchdown Percentage, Total Plays, Run Percentage, Pass Percentage, Overall Explosive Play Percentage, and Total Touchdowns Per Attempt.

Some of the data is a repeat of what we've already covered, but wanted to include it to give you an overall picture of how the offense has changed. The one thing that I had not considered in looking at this data, thanks to Centexraider, was the idea of how many more plays the offense has on Texas Tech's end of the field in 2011 and 2010. I don't think this is the NASCAR effect, but rather due to the fact that the defense was so atrocious over the past two years that the offense was on their heels more than in 2009 and 2008 when the defenses were okay to respectable. I had not considered the fact that the offense was less explosive because the defense was continually putting the offense in a hole. Just something to think about.

And in case you are curious, I have not been able to find any sort of starting field position or average field position, so this is all you get, which is the number of plays in 20 yard chunks. Let's get to it.

Own 1 To 20 Yd Ln

Year G Rush EP% Rush TD% Pass EP% Pass TD% Total Plays Run% Pass% Overall EP% Total TD/Att
2011 10 10.87% 0.00% 11.67% 0.00% 106 43.40% 56.60% 11.32% 0.00%
2010 13 16.98% 1.89% 12.33% 0.00% 126 42.06% 57.94% 14.29% 0.79%
2009 11 25.00% 0.00% 25.00% 0.00% 96 29.17% 70.83% 25.00% 0.00%
2008 11 25.93% 0.00% 31.67% 1.67% 87 31.03% 68.97% 29.89% 1.15%

I'll be focusing on the latter end of each table for the most part, and again, it's pretty clear as to the increase of the run versus the pass, but given the thought that the offense may have been playing on their heels so much and that maybe they needed to give themselves a breather. Maybe running the ball wasn't such a bad idea after all. Again, this is pretty consistent with what we've seen with the overall EP%, which is that it has decreased over this four year period.

More after the jump.

Own 21 To 39 Yd Ln

Year G Rush EP% Rush TD% Pass EP% Pass TD% Total Plays Run% Pass% Overall EP% Total TD/Att
2011 12 14.29% 0.00% 14.84% 0.00% 294 38.10% 61.90% 14.63% 0.00%
2010 13 10.26% 0.00% 18.13% 0.00% 299 39.13% 60.87% 15.05% 0.00%
2009 13 17.65% 0.00% 24.12% 1.76% 238 28.57% 71.43% 22.27% 1.26%
2008 13 25.00% 0.00% 29.14% 0.00% 223 32.29% 67.71% 27.80% 0.00%

I dot think it is interesting that the further away that Texas Tech gets from their own goal line, the more that this team passes. I don't know why that's so interesting other than it's a different philosophy than what we've seen before, but not so radically different that I think I would have noticed had I not compiled the data.

Look at the total plays that Texas Tech has in 2011 and 2010. That's an additional 132 plays between Texas Tech's own 20 to 39 yard line over the course of two years. That's and average of an additional 66 plays in this 20 yard chunk of the field. That's staggering to me, again perhaps speaking to the fact that Texas Tech was put in bad situations by the defense for the past two years.

Own 40 To Opp 40 Yd Ln

Year G Rush EP% Rush TD% Pass EP% Pass TD% Total Plays Run% Pass% Overall EP% Total TD/Att
2011 12 12.20% 2.44% 24.85% 2.96% 251 32.67% 67.33% 20.72% 2.79%
2010 13 20.69% 0.00% 19.48% 0.65% 270 42.96% 57.04% 20.00% 0.37%
2009 13 20.00% 0.00% 25.27% 1.65% 277 34.30% 65.70% 23.47% 1.08%
2008 13 25.00% 1.25% 30.29% 2.29% 255 31.37% 68.63% 28.63% 1.96%

So here the total number of plays is a bit more on track over the course of the four year period and it is interesting that Brown's 2011 season was closer to Leach's 2008 in terms of run to pass. Again, the idea is that 2008 was the best offense this program has had, I think I can live with this EP%.

Opp 39 To 21 Yd Ln

Year G Rush EP% Rush TD% Pass EP% Pass TD% Total Plays Run% Pass% Overall EP% Total TD/Att
2011 11 18.57% 1.43% 20.35% 3.54% 183 38.25% 61.75% 19.67% 2.73%
2010 13 28.38% 4.05% 25.41% 4.10% 196 37.76% 62.24% 26.53% 4.08%
2009 13 12.28% 1.75% 21.12% 8.07% 218 26.15% 73.85% 18.81% 6.42%
2008 13 29.09% 5.45% 25.16% 5.16% 210 26.19% 73.81% 26.19% 5.24%

Again, it is interesting to see how the 2009 and 2008 teams have 10 to 20 additional plays in this part of the field compared to 2010 and 2011. Brown does like to ramp up the rushing attempts a bit the closer he gets to his own goal line and I find it interesting that this is the area of the field that Leach likes to run the ball the least and is pretty consistent about that. Also interesting that the explosive plays are about the same, although this is not what I would have guessed.

Opp 20 To 1 Yd Ln (RZ)

Year G Rush EP% Rush TD% Pass EP% Pass TD% Total Plays Run% Pass% Overall EP% Total TD/Att
2011 11 6.17% 20.99% 7.89% 28.95% 157 51.59% 48.41% 7.01% 24.84%
2010 12 6.49% 16.88% 10.47% 38.37% 163 47.24% 52.76% 8.59% 28.22%
2009 13 9.86% 32.39% 3.41% 21.59% 159 44.65% 55.35% 6.29% 26.42%
2008 11 4.82% 28.92% 6.61% 28.10% 204 40.69% 59.31% 5.88% 28.43%

So Brown pretty much becomes a 50/50 pass to rush type of offense here and even Leach increases his rushing percentage here more than anywhere else on the field. Given the fact that the overall figures are roughly similar, I'm okay with how this looks, although I do acknowledge that the scoring was slightly down in 2011 and 2010. Still, it appears that Brown is scoring at about the same rate and the 2008 year certainly throws things off a bit, but I like seeing an off-the-charts year to compare with other years.

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