FanPost

Comparing the opposing Coordinators to the Red Raiders new Coaches

 

Coaches James Willis and Neal  Brown have their work cut out for them. The guys they are facing in 2010 are not only your typical driven, sunburned and fanatical types. They are also rather well paid and smart. Just an outgrowth of the competition in the Big 12. This run down is an attempt to compare Spring Game challenges of the Big 12 opponents to what to the Red Raiders two new coordinators are facing. Decided to lay out the challenges facing each of the opponents as they cycle up their teams and then try to illustrate what appears to be the biggest problem needing to be addressed by each unit offense or defense. Finally picked a statistical problem area displayed by the opponents’ team. In a later post I will lay out the non conference foes. Same venue. Who is the toughest opponent? With respect to the Big 12 opponents what is the biggest concern among all of you?

 

Coach Brown

Coach Willis 

The South

ESPN review of first OSU practice with Coach Holgorsen 

Cowboys http://www.okstate.com/sports/m-footbl/stats/2009-2010/teamcume.html#TEAM.TEM

 OSU  Def CoordBill Young  in 07  he was at KU  with  Mark Mangino all the way to the Orange Bowl victory, then to Miami, then back to OSU. What to expect: Lots of guys to replace 3 x LB’s 3 x DB’s and 2 x D linemen. Can he do it? Probably yes. He’s been a success at all other stops and the Cowboys should be fine sitting at the # 6 defense in the Big 12. OSU graduate Bill Young returned to Stillwater to join Mike Gundy'sstaff as defensive coordinator in January of 2009. Young, who has a long history of success at the highest levels of football, finished the past season withhis unit slugging it out with Ole Miss. Then in the 4th period the Cowboys offense handed the game to the Rebels. Most interesting stat: their opponents converted 34 % of their 3rd downs. I would expect that percentage to go up. Graduation hurts bad those 6 x departed LB / DBs contributed respectively 273 and 122 Solo tackles out of 632 total team Solo tackles. That’s 43.2% of all tackles contributed on the team. Lots to replace Mr. Bill.

  Off Coord Dana Holgorson longtime Raider assistant then Kevin Sumlins Off Coord at Houston, now with Mike Gundy. Here’s where it gets dicey. Dana of course knows everything the former team once removed used to do. So that helps his fellow coordinator Coach Bill Young. A little. Versus Coaches Tubs and Neal that may not work so well. The worst news is he’s going to put the same up tempo, scorching short pass crap on us that was demonstrated by Houston last year. I liked the guy but now I hate him. This game will be like playing against Mike Leach again. In his two years at Houston, Holgorson and the Cougars put up explosive offensive numbers. Under his direction, UH ended the 2009 season as the national leader in total offense with563 yards per game, scoring offense with 42.2 points per game, andpassing offense with 433.7 yards per game. Funny twist the Cougars lost their bowl game to an Air Force defensive unit coached by the new Aggie def coordinator Tim DeRuyters. AF did it with take aways too. The offense line is being rebuilt, a senior RB K Hunter, new QB B. Weeden who looked good in one relief job in 09 these will form the nucleus of the Cowboy attack. AndI don’t think it matters how many stars their current receivers have with a guy like Dana coaching them up. Most interesting stat: They were number 4 in College Football in sacks allowed. Tech was 90th with 2.39 allowed per game.

Total Offense: Yards / Play

5.4 Pokes

4.7 Opp.

Total Offense: Plays - Yards

891 - 4774

919 - 4323

 

Bottom line OSU won’t be a balanced offense next year and the yards per play will likely go up by factor of 2. Ouch. I am talking well over 5500 yards.

 

Cowboy stats

 

The other 7  x  Big 12 opponents after the jump.
 

 

Aggies    http://www.aggieathletics.com/sports/m-footbl/stats/2009-2010/teamstat.html

 ATm def Coord Tim DeRuyters formerly put together the Air force academies defense. What to expect:  Whatever he does at aTm it’s going to be a 100 % improvement over Joe Kines. The Falcon defense finished 11th in the NCAA in total defense allowing 288.31 yards per game. The Air Force pass defense was ranked 5th in the country allowing only 154.31 yards per game while the scoring defense was 10th in the land. The Air Force defense intercepted 20 passes to rank 7th in the country and the overall defense caused 34 total turnovers to ranked 5th in the country. The stingy defense also allowed only 14.62 first downs per game to rank 4th in the NCAA statistics. The Falcon defense was 13thin the NCAA in third-down efficiency allowing teams to convert only 30.86 percent of the time. In his most recent bowl game with Air Force, the Falcons defeated Houston, 47-20, while the defense held the nation's top-ranked offensive attack of the Cougars to a season-low 222 yards passing and picked off six passes. Air Force held UH without a touchdown for the first half of the Armed Forces Bowl in Fort Worth, Texas. He’s allegedly going to install a 3 - 4 defense  ( like us?).  Which will feature Von Miller the NCAA sack leader. Most interesting stat: They lost the red zone conversion battle Ags converted 77 % their opponents converted 80 % predictably they were out scored 436 to 427 points. Your Raiders were 61 of 52 red zone chances.

The Off Coord Tom Rossley (?) Title is  - Sr  Assistant QB coach (?) Former NFL guy arrived in 2008 - Rossley most recently was the offensive coordinator with the Green Bay Packers from 2004-06 and served as the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach from 2000-03. So that is his stock in trade. Current starter at QB Jerrod Johnson benefited from his mentoring. He’s a  former head coach of SMU from 91 -96. He’s clearly a dude with ties to Mike Sherman in their joint NFL days. Anyhow he’s not called an offensive coordinator on their official web site. Biggest problem: Red Zone conversions - the play selection (or just execution in the redzone perhaps ? ) - They made 12 out of 19 FG attempts. It’s too many FGs against opponents with okay defenses and good offenses.

Split

G

Attempts

Scores

Score %

TD

TD %

FG

FG %

All Games

13

63

49

77.78

41

65.08

8

12.70

at Home

7

40

32

80.00

28

70.00

4

10.00

on Road

4

15

12

80.00

9

60.00

3

20.00

at Neutral Site

2

8

5

62.50

4

50.00

1

12.50

 

The 2 x guys who can set the stage for an Aggie resurgence are these 2 x Running backs Gray and Michael. But wait they graduate 3 x O linemen starters and add several seniors who don’t seem to have played much. Scads of freshmen O line men on the roster. If they get anywhere near the rushing production in 2010 they had last year then they’ll be in every game.

1

Christine Michael

FR

RB

12 Gs

166 Att

844 yds

5.08 pc

10 TD

13.83 att g

70.33 YPG

2

Cyrus Gray

SO

RB

13Gs

159 Att

757 yds

4.76 pc

5 TD

12.23 att g

58.23 YPG

 

Aggie stats

 

Longhorns  http://www.mackbrown-texasfootball.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/fb-statistics.html

 UT  Def Coord Muschamp 3rd year as coordinator, only head coach in awaiting on the schedule and he was a 2007 Broyles Award Finalist (nation's top assistant coach award). What to expect: He’s got replace 3 x senoirs and that’s not a problem. What is a problem was those three guys contributed 181 stops out of 918 opponents’ plays. He joined the Texas staff after spending the previous two years as defensive coordinator at Auburn (is that one year or 2 with Tubs?). During his time at Texas, Muschamp has led a Longhorn defense that has held 25-of-27 opponents under their season scoring averages and 16 teams to 14 points or fewer. In 2009, the Horns held 12-of-14 opponents under their scoring averages and didn't allowed an offensive TD in four of 14 games. Last season, the Texas defense allowed 16.7 points (12th NCAA), 251.9 total yards (third NCAA), a 100.5 pass efficiency rating (10th NCAA) and 72.4 rushing yards per game (first NCAA). The Longhorns also led the nation in third-down defense (26.5%), turnovers gained (37) and interceptions (25), and finished in the top eight of both sacks and TFL. The way I see it it’s a reload year and they quite likely to be the #2 or #3 defense in the Big 12. Most interesting stat: they held all their opponents (except Alabama) to 50% of their own rushing yardage (see below) put another way the defense was murderous against the rush.

Total

14 Games

114.0 TF Loss

577 yds

8.14 avg

Opponents

14

95.0

332

6.79

 

 

  Off Coord Greg Davis 13th year as a coordinator @ UT, is the first assistant coach recipient in the Big 12 to win the coveted Broyles Top Assistant coach award in 2005, the year of their latest national championship.

Last season, Texas averaged 39.3 points per game (third NCAA), 421.2 total yards (29th NCAA), 273.6 passing yards (22nd NCAA) and 147.6 yards rushing. His problem is replacing 3 x O linemen, getting a durable running back in place and allowing the sophomore QB to get good at running the offense. Fortunately- see NC game highlights -  Garret Gilbert is a quick study I think the quarterback is the least of his worries. Keeping the receivers out of jail and rebuilding the O line looks to be a lot harder. Then again he hasn’t had a 1000 yard rusher in 2 x years so perhaps that’s the key piece yet to be developed.  Biggest problem: Texas is forced to pass to win. This is the third year in row they have been in this situation so I don’t expect any drop off.  Even graduating their most reliable receiver and those  3 x O linemen isn’t going to hurt them as the backups played and are just as competent. They still threw 29 x TDs; got 5 x TDs on kick returns and  4 x TDs from the defense

Rushing: Yards / Attempt

4.03 UT

2.21 Opp.

Rushing: Attempts - Yards - TD

513 - 2066 - 28

458 - 1013 - 9

 

Longhorn stats

 

Oklahoma

Sooners http://www.soonersports.com/sports/m-footbl/stats/2009-2010/teamcume.html

 Def Coord Brent Venabelsis a certified Raider killer with 7 of the last 10 meeting going the Sooners way. What to expect: The Sooners have made a living out of disrupting others schemes. This trend is likely to continue due to the high caliber of player they put on the field.  Despite facing 11 of the nation's top 50 scoring offenses and losing two key starters to injury, the Sooner defense ranked among the top three in nearly every Big 12 category. OU was No. 4 nationally in sacks and No. 20 in rushing defense. (Note this stuff is mostly statistically oriented to 2008)  Most interesting stat: Graduation subtraction or losing to the NFL draft 255 tackles(in 2009) out of 866 opponents snaps.

Tackles for a loss: the Sooners erased 4 football fields from their opponent’s offensive ledger.

Total

13 Games

98.0 TF Loss

400 yds

7.54 avg

Opponents

13

67.0

291

5.15

 

 

Red Raiders Tackles for a loss: Bottom line Tech loses by subtraction 241 yards and 32.5 sacks contributed by Seniors.

Total

13 Games

83.5 TF Loss

346 yds

6.42 avg

Opponents

13

74.0

429

5.69

 

 

Off Coord Kevin Wilson 2001 came over from Northwestern he absorbed the Leach offense and applied 4 star (plus) athletes to their attack. Result over 240 points on 2 x different Raider defensive coordinators. 09 was the only aberration and that one was comedy of badly thrown half back passes, poor receiver play and horrible luck with offensive linemen’s injuries.  In 2008, he coordinated the most prolific offense in the history of college football andwas rewarded with the 2008 Broyles Award. So he is the 2nd  Broyles winner  Messrs. Neal and Willis are up against. It was the first in the modern era to record more than 700 points and 60 or more points in five straight games, and the first ever to include a 4,000-yard passer and two 1,000-yard rushers. The unit was led by Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford. This is  old press blather- they haven’t added the disappointing L. Jones, D. Murray , Chris Bown 2009 stats lines yet to the website. Biggest problem: Coach Wilson  doesn’t have one. He only needs a little luck.  Landry Jones will be better, the O line will be healthy and Demarco Murray will crack 1000 yards- if he doesn’t get nicked up.

Oklahoma

Opponents

Scoring: Points/Game

31.1

14.5

Scoring: Games - Points

13 - 404

13 - 189

 

Sooner stats

Bears   http://www.baylorbears.com/sports/m-footbl/stats/2009-2010/teamcume.html

Baylor  Off Coord  2  x guys  share the duties here  #1 Coordis also the line coach - Randy Clements moved from UH with Briles and  the other guy Philip Montgomery also from UH / Stephenville High school, he coaches the running backs.  In the last 2 year these guys have put a combined 51 points on the Raiders using arguably the most dedicated and under recruited classes in the Big 12. Robert Griffin the IIIrd is a certifiable stud but they can’t hang everything on his  somewhat slim shoulders. They know this too. Clement tutored a 2008 Baylor offensive line that paved way for 2,349 rushing yards (a 251 percent increase from 2007's rushing total of 934 yards and the most rushing yards at BU since 1981) and 29 rushing touchdowns.  Montgomery coached a Baylor backfield in 2008 that was a productive as any BU offense in more than a decade. The Bears total points (28.0), rushing yards (2,349) and rushing TDs (29) were the most since 1994, and the total offense average (376.4) was the highest since 1995. Biggest problem: Scoring, can’t tell too much but its apparent they have 90% of their O linemen are underclassmen. The hockey guy from Canada is only senior in this group barring a transfer.

Red Zone: Success %

65% Baylor

77.78% Opp.

Red Zone: Attempts - Scores

40 - 26

54 - 42

 

Followed closely by just keeping the offense on the field

First Downs: Total

208 Baylor

267 Opp.

First Downs: Rushing - Passing - By Penalty

74 - 115 - 19

115 - 135 - 17

 

Def Coord Brian Norwood University of Hawaii guy spent  7  x years at Penn State;  beginning 3rd year on the job and doing rather well against the Leach offense some of that is undoubtedly due to Art Brilesbeing a member of Mike Leaches staff – with Tubs on board that little advantage is gone.  What to expect:  His first Baylor defense showed marked on-field improvement, cutting opponents' scoring average 7.7 points per game (29.3 in 2008) and opponents' total offense 68.4 yards per game (393.2 in 2008) from 2007. This guy is very smart. If they ever get 2 or 3 talents like Sergio Kindle or Von Miller then they will get to a Bowl game. Most interesting stat: Top 6 x returning defenders contributed 284 or their 957 team total tackles. Just goes to show their defense is on the field a lot.

 

Bears stats

 

 

The North

 

Buffs Stats 

Buffaloes http://www.cubuffs.com/ViewArticle.dbml?SPSID=3844&SPID=255&DB_LANG=C&DB_OEM_ID=600&ATCLID=204789647

Colorado  Off Coord Eric Kiesau  is starting his 2ndyear as the Hawkmans Coordinator. Kiesau is in his fourth year as a member of the Buffalo coaching staff assembled in December 2005.   Promoted into the position on April 30, 2009, just a little over a month after he was also named assistant head coach. 

Total Offense: Yards / Play

4.4 Buffs

5.4 Opp.

Total Offense: Plays - Yards

852 - 3772

805 - 4356

 

He was CU's passing game coordinator and receivers coach his first three years in Boulder.  When he moved into the coordinator role, he switched to coaching the quarterbacks instead of the receivers.  At 36, he is one of the five youngest offensive coordinators in the collegiate ranks. He’s like Cumbie a former collegiate quarterback.Biggest problem: They are the offensive opposite of the Raiders in balanced receptions /distribution; every other pass is going WR Scotty Mcnight. He’s averaging 74 yards a game but the other position sucking up 30 % of the passes completed are tight ends and they aren’t anything like Jermaine Gresham.  Very low YAC.

 

   Def Coord Ron Collins 4th year as coordinator came from Boise state with Hawkins; What to expect:   As he was one of four assistant coaches to follow Boise State head coach Dan Hawkins when he accepted the Colorado position in December 2005.   He oversees all phases of the defense for the Buffaloes, but does not coach a specific position. 

Collins, 45, served as Boise State's defensive coordinator for four seasons, while coaching the linebackers all five years he spent on the BSU staff under Hawkins Most interesting stat: they don’t stop people from scoring on them and they don’t have any semblance of a quick strike offense. Kind metronomic. Leads you to believe they playing for the last possession doesn’t it? Any how they know their place kicker is good.

Red Zone: Success %

79.07% Buffs

70.45% Opp.

Red Zone: Attempts - Scores

43 - 34

44 - 31

 

 

Tigers  http://www.mutigers.com/sports/m-footbl/stats/2009-2010/teamstat.html

 

Tigers Stats

Mizzou    Off Coord David Yost 13th  total year at MU, 2nd year as off Coord. He has been with Head Coach Gary Pinkel for the  all past seasons in a variety of capacities so he's seen alot of ups and downs. Pinkel's recruiting coordinator since 1997, Yost also serves as the Tigers' quarterbacks coach and placekickers coach at Mizzou. His starting QB Blaine Gabbert is the team’s offense. See his numbers below.

Passing

G

Att

Comp

Pct.

Yards

Yards/Att

Int

TD

Rating

Att/G

Yards/G

13

445

262

58.9

3593

8.1

9

24

140.46

34.2

276.4

 

He's added some very important duties to his plate in 2009. Yost was tabbed by Pinkel to take over that role in December of 2008, after former Tiger coach Dave Christensen accepted the head coaching position at the University of Wyoming. Biggest problem: Red Zone conversions it’s balanced  21 x TD’s and 21 x FGs and that’s not good. The Raiders red zone conversion play out like this  - scored 43 x  TD  and only  9 x FG

Split

G

Attempts

Scores

Score %

TD

TD %

FG

FG %

All Games

13

52

42

80.77

21

40.38

21

40.38

 

Dave Steckel Def Coord 2ndyear for his OJT  was the linebacker coach last 9 years there.  What to expect:  Dave Steckel is in his ninth season at Missouri as the Tigers' linebacker coach, and the 2009 campaign was his first with the added duties of defensive coordinator - a position he was awarded by Head Coach Gary Pinkel in February following the departure of former coordinator Matt Eberflus to the NFL's Cleveland Browns. You gotta like a guy Coach Steckel, hell he’s an old Marine to boot.

Steckel has consistently produced results with his linebacking corps at Mizzou. He is also a highly-successful recruiter, primarily in the state of Texas. This fact I hate. Most interesting stat: lots of youth on this team tons of sophomore and freshman who got playing time. His 3 x remaining starting LB’s after Sean Witherspoon departed with his 111 tackles – have 231 stops between them and yes they lead the team in tackles by position. That’s a good thing.

 

Cyclones  http://www.cyclones.com/fls/10700/STATS/Football/2009_FB/teamcume.htm?DB_OEM_ID=10700

 

Cyclones Stats  

Iowa state Def Coord Wally Burnham old USF and FSU, Bowden guy, graduated in 1963 from Samford.  What to expect:    Has  an impressive resume of successful defenses along with the distinction of being the oldest coordinator in the Big 12,  did I mention he graduated in 1963 and was with B. Bowden ?  He might have some  potential All Conference players. But I couldn’t find any Nagurski or Outland Trophy awards on the team page.  Burnham’s defense erased the memory of the 2006-2008 seasons, when Iowa State had allowed more than 30 points per game. The 2009 Cyclones ranked 34th nationally and fifth in the Big 12, allowing just 21.85 points per game. Burnham’s defenders held three conference opponents to 10 or less points for the first time since 1965. Most interesting stat: His 6 leading tacklers have graduated they combined to contribute 398 tackles out of 929 opponent’s snaps.

Here’s the bottom line they got outscored and still managed a winning record and a Bowl game.

Scoring: Points/Game

20.5 Clones

21.8 Opp.

Scoring: Games - Points

13 - 267

13 - 284

 

  Off Coord Tom Herman lately of the Rice Owls and Tex State Bobcats is one of the youngest coordinators.  Herman was tabbed in January 2009 by Iowa State head coach Paul Rhoads to serve as ISU’s offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach.  Herman, the architect of one of the nation’s most prolific offenses at Rice in 2008, brought new life to ISU’s offense as its coordinator and quarterbacks coach. It was a successful transition as Iowa State was effective on the ground and through the air in Herman’s first Cyclone season.

Rushing: Yards / Attempt

4.54 Clones

4.35 Opp.

Rushing: Attempts - Yards - TD

515 - 2338 - 16

495 - 2154 - 13

 

Iowa State was one of the best Big 12 rushing offenses last season, as Alexander Robinson became the Cyclones’ first 1,000-yard rusher since 2005. Arnaud threw for 2,015 yards on 14 touchdowns.  Both Robinson and Arnaud achieved their marks despite missing parts of several games due to injury. Without those starters, Freshman QB Jerome Tiller led Iowa State to a memorable win at Nebraska as the Cyclones posted a winning record and an Insight Bowl victory last fall. Biggest problem: Third down conversions. See below stats - Austen Arnaud is a decent passer. All his O line is returning. I think a guy like Tom Herman will coach this guy up in 2010. Watch out Big  12 North.

Split

G

Attempts

Conversions

Conversion %

All Games

13

191

79

41.36

 

 

 

<em>This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Viva The Matadors' writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Viva The Matadors' writers or editors.</em>

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