FanPost

Tech Offense Output Analysis ISU vs. UT

2010 Offensive Output

UT

ISU

Raw Differential

Total Plays:

54

100%

 

87

100%

 

33

     Total Passes

36

66%

62

71%

26

     Total Runs

18

33%

25

29%

7

Plays Breakdown by Yards Gain/Loss

 

 

 

     Incompletions

15

28%

 

20

23%

 

5

     Turnovers

3

5%

33%

3

3%

26%

0

     For Loss

8

15%

48%

4

5%

31%

-4

     0-4 Yards

12

22%

70%

16

18%

49%

4

     5-9 Yards

9

17%

87%

25

29%

78%

16

    10-14 Yards

1

2%

89%

11

13%

91%

10

    15 + Yards

6

11%

100%

8

9%

100%

2

 

 

 

 

Total Possessions:

14

100%

 

14

100%

 

0

     Punt

8

57%

 

5

37%

 

-3

     Turnover

3

21%

 

3

21%

 

0

     Failed 4th Downs

1

7%

 

0

0%

 

-1

     End of Half/Game

1

7%

 

0

0%

 

-1

     Scoring Drive

1

7%

 

6

43%

 

5

Source: ESPN

Well ... here we go.  Just how did the offense do?  I didn't get a chance to watch the game, but I did run the numbers tonight and found several interesting things. 

Before we get to the analysis, please remember that the third column in each game is the cumulative percentage of plays run.  For example, against ISU 78% of all plays Tech ran gained 9 yards or less.  

1.  The offense ran 33 more plays in the ISU game than the UT game (26 more passes and 7 more runs) on the same number of possessions (14).  Running 87 offensive plays in a game is more like what we have be conditioned to expect.  

2.  Despite running 33 more plays, the offense decreased the total number of plays for losses from eight to four. This suggest that Potts is making throws quicker, the line is protecting him better; and the holes the O-Linemen are creating for the running game is also better.  

3.  Notice that a total of 36 plays Tech ran gained between 5 to 14 yards.  That is 66% of the total plays Tech ran against UT (54 total plays in that game).  This suggests that Tech is finally getting their mojo back even if UT's defense is better than ISU.  I believe that a DTN'er commented on another post that he saw a difference beginning at the 3:16 mark in the second quarter.  Though I don't have the empirical data to back it up, it seems to me that for the last 10 years this has been Tech's bread and butter.

4.  Despite Tubs continually making the point that Tech needs to run the ball more, percentage wise Tech threw the ball 71% of the time against ISU, a 5% increase from the UT game.  I don't know what to quite think about this ... things that make you go hmmmm ...

5.  Notice the drastic difference in the possession data from the UT game to ISU.  Tech punted three times less this game than last; did not give the ball up on downs; and didn't waste the end of half or end of game possession. Rather, they turned those giveaways into points.  Against ISU the offense had a net gain of five scoring drives from their prior game against UT.   

6.  Call me a nut jobber, but should the offense improve just a little more (I know that it is a big if) Tech should consistently win 80% of its games regardless of who is on staff (I am no fan of Tubs right now either) If the offense does just one of these three each game Tech should be in great shape:  

a)  The offense turns the ball over one less time a game and converts it into a scoring drive.  

b)  The offense converts a turnover created by the defense into a scoring drive OR the defense scores on a turnover. (BTW: The defense did not create a turnover against ISU,)

c)  The offense puts the punter on the field four times a game rather than five and converts that drive into a score.  

These conditions of winning are, of course, based on the defense and special teams holding serve. 

Thoughts?

<em>This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Viva The Matadors' writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Viva The Matadors' writers or editors.</em>

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